Tue 30 Aug 2011
Assad: Suicidal Desperado Apparently Bent on “Armageddon” in the Middle East to Avoid Great Power Ultimata
The blog closely associated with Israeli Intelligence Service, DEBKAfile, reports dire prospects to be looming over the Middle East in the near future, after Bashar Assad disregarded a Turkish/US ultimatum to stop shooting demonstraters expiring on 27 Aug. 2011.
DEBKAfile 30 Aug. 2011: Well-informed military sources warn that /Syria´s President)Assad will not be cowed by the international, military and economic noose tightening around his neck. He is far more likely to try and loosen it by lashing out against his enemies, starting with Israel (As his cousin Rami Makhlouf told the New York Times on 10 May 2011 that he would do). Iran will certainly be a willing supporter of such belligerence, starting a war which could spread like wildfire across the region.
Monday night and Tuesday, Aug-29-30, three international heavyweights - Russia, the European Union and key Muslim nations – gave Syrian President Bashar Assad tough ultimatums for ending his ferocious crackdown on protest. Nevertheless, on Monday, his troops shot dead 17 people in Syrian cities - even as he received Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov who arrived in Damascus with a last warning from President Dmitry Medvedev: Recall you soldiers to their bases immediately and implement changes or Moscow will endorse UN Security Council sanctions stiff enough to stifle the Syrian economy. Those sanctions are only a step away from a resolution authorizing NATO, together with Muslim and Arab nations, to intervene militarily in the Syrian crisis.
DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources disclose that Turkey, as a NATO member, and Saudi Arabia, on behalf of the Gulf Cooperation Council, have been in discussions this past week on the form this intervention would take:
1. The long-considered Turkish plan to send troops into northern Syria and carve out a military pocket from which Syria’s rebels would be supplied with military, logistic and medical aid.
2. Ankara and Riyadh will provide the anti-Assad movements with large quantities of weapons and funds to be smuggled in from outside Syria.
3. The Turkish military incursion would be matched by Saudi troops entering southern Syria at the head of GCC contingents. They would move in via Jordan and establish a second military enclave under GCC auspices.
Ahmadinejad said Iran would never renege on its pact with Assad.
Two days later, our military sources report, Syria deployed 25 anti-air missile batteries along its Turkish border.
Saturday, Aug. 27 Assad saw his own capital rallying against him with big demonstrations in central Damascus. The pressure from the street continued to build up through Sunday and Monday. The EU sanctions on Syrian oil export will soon exhaust Syrias main source of foreign currency.
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