A HAPPY NEW YEAR

This summer, there was a widespread claim on the blogosphere that the Gulf Stream had come to a standstill due to the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico – and that this would lead to an exceptionally cold winter. I did not see signs of a dead Gulfstream from NASA´s satellite photos – but I did see the possibility of a severe winter due to a lack of sunspot activity. Now the spilled BP oil has been discovered: It covers large parts of the bottom of the Gulf of Mexico and kills life there alongside with the used dispersant – but is not stifling the Gulfstream.

However, other forces are at play, too. As can be seen from the satellite measurements below, the Gulfstream velocities and sea surface temperatures are pretty much alike in 2004 and 2010 as of 15 Dec.  In that context, I cannot help thinking of the chemtrailing and here as well as other geo-engineering initiatives coordinated on behalf of the UN, the EU, governments and corporations –ostensbly to combat “global warming” – in spite of the UNEP forbidding it. Logics totally disappears, when one sees the heavy chemtrail-activity in the middle of this hard winter. The miserable IPCC chairman, Rajendra Pachauri and here at the UN Climate Summit at Cancún stated that he would ignore all science on CO2 anthropogenic warming (or rather the lack of such science) and just stake on geo-engineering like chemtrailing, ocean fertilizing, artificial vulcanos to pump sulphur dioxide into the atmosphere, cloud whitening etc – while we experience a hard winter. Do these criminals intend to create a new ice age under the cover of the “global warming” lie – as predicted by Obama´s climate czar, John Holdren?  In fact, such factors as the velocity and temperature of the Gulfstream being largely unchanged over the past 6 years (40% weakened until 2005), the fact that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation is just at the maximum of its 70–years-lasting  cycle – while the Pacific Decadal Oscillation cycle is running out of its maximum occurring every 30–years, give a good explanation for the melting polar ice over the latest 30 years – but these cycles are largely being ignored. Anthropogenic “global CO2 warming” is nothing but a political myth – in fact the biggest and most politically and economically profitable lie in history.

The Daily Mail 29 Dec. 2010 Forecasters say the worst winter is yet to come, and this winter could be the harshest since the Thames froze over more than three centuries ago. Temperatures for December are the coldest on record.

Gulfstream velocities as seen from satellites  – DEOS and RUTGERS  SEA  SURFACE TEMPERATURES

Gulf Stream velocity fields are derived from near-realtime data from the radar
altimeter data of the satellites
Envisat, Jason-1, TOPEX/Poseidon, and GFO.
The data is downloaded and processed daily to become part of the
RADS data base.

Gulf_041215_vel

Rutgers041215-23h

Gulf_101215_vel

So what reason for the cold winter is now given by desperate warmists?
They postulate that our cold winter in the Northern hemisphere is due to….guess: global warming – although CRU-East Anglia´s arch Climategate fraudster, Phil Jones has admitted that there has been no gloal warming since 1995, even the ultrawarmist UK Royal Society is now questioning global warming – and the supreme fraudster, IPCC´s Chairman, Rajendra Pachauri, has admitted, that the IPCC prognoses are politically commissioned work without scientific basis!

AFP 22 Dec. 2010: New research, however, goes further, showing that global warming has contributed to Europe’s winter blues. Rising temperatures in the Arctic – increasing at two to three times the global average – have peeled back the region’s floating ice cover by 20 percent over the last three decades.This has allowed more of the Sun’s radiative force to be absorbed by dark-blue sea rather than bounced back into space by reflective ice and snow, accelerating the warming process.

More critically for weather patterns, it has also created a massive source of heat during the winter months. Say the ocean is at zero degrees Celsius (32 degrees Fahrenheit),” said Stefan Rahmstorf, a climate scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany. “That is a lot warmer than the overlying air in the polar area in winter, so you get a major heat flow heating up the atmosphere from below which you don’t have when it is covered by ice. That’s a massive change,” he told AFP in an interview. The result, according to a modelling study published earlier this month the Journal of Geophysical Research, is a strong high-pressure system over the newly-

Rutgers101215-24h

exposed sea which brings cold polar air, swirling counter-clockwise, into Europe. “Recent severe winters like last year’s or the one of 2005-2006 do not conflict with the global warming picture, but rather supplement it,” explained Vladimir Petoukhov, lead author of the study and a physicist at the Potsdam Institute. Colder European winters do not indicate a slowing of global warming trends, only an uneven distribution, researchers say. “As I look out my window is see about 30 centimetres of snow and the thermostat reads -14.0 C,” said Rahmstorf. “At the same time, in Greenland we have above zero temperatures — in December.”


Global Research 27 Dec. 2010: Left: High pressure over Greenland and Siberia pressing cold air south over America and Europe, respectively. Thereby, the mild and moist jetstreams are being pressed south (Right). The unnswered question is: What causes this dislocation, which we have often experience in the past (the 1940es, the 1960es, the 1980es).

Greenlandblock

Greenland and Siberia pressing cold air south over America and Europe, respectively. Thereby, the mild and moist jetstreams are being pressed south (Right). The unnswered question is: What causes this dislocation, which we have often experience in the past (the 1940es, the 1960es, the 1980es)?

Jetstreams

Warming of the Poles due to more radiation absorption from a sun with so low sun spot activity as not seen in living memory? Mr. Rahmstorf is pretty alone with his views. His models are just as exact as warmist models so far – and as the Met office´s Icelandic ash plume scandal, which totally unnecessarily brought Europe´s airtraffic to a standstill for several  days without one single measurement – and at the same time gave the EU control over the European airspace forever!!

Or the tweaked models telling a wondering world  that the increase in atmospheric CO2 from a preinustrial 0.27% to now 0.37% was causing dangerous global warming, which nobody could feel, on the contrary!! The recipe: they gave inputs that were sure to give the wanted result – that CO2 was due to global warming, as demanded by Edmund de Rothschild at the 4. World Wilderness Conference, so that he could establish his World Conservation Bank – later the Global Environmental Facility – to engulf all the world´s banks – and to receive the payments of the Western states´ taxpayers for themselves and corrupt LDC dictators in the name of climate mitigation!!! Little reaches the poor – but maybe Mr. Rahmstorf gets a little share?

But where is the global warming?

On an average, the Northern hemisphere has lower temperatures than normal – a few places are a little warmer than usual.

The distribution of warm areas around the Hudson Bay and on Greenland´s western side  – not on its inland ice or on the eastern side of Greenland inor in Alaska indicate warm Atlantic sea stream to be the cause – probably the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, which is now at a maximum. This has always appeared at an interval of 70 years. During WWII the North East Passage as open, German warships and Russian freighters sailing freely from the North Atlantic into the Pacific and back

The Following satellite Photos are from “Real Science 21 Dec. 2010”. Unfortunately, the original link- http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sst_anom.html – which I visited  just before Christmas, has now been deleted!

Canada-Greenland Canada-Greenland-temp

Antarctica-temp

Russia-temp

Australia-temp

Antarctis - Russia - Australia  - Pacific below


Pacific-temp

But a well paid  warmist never gives up her ideological propaganda
The Independent 21 Dec. 2010:  Professor Julia Slingo, the Met Office’s chief scientist, is adamant that the current cold weather is merely a natural fluctuation – and does not mean that global warming is all a myth.
The diminishing Arctic sea ice may be influencing a change in the weather patterns that are still not understood, she said. A final complication is that a regular pattern of natural climate change over the North Atlantic, called the multi-decadal oscillation, may be about to enter a cooler phase, just as it did in the 1960s, when Britain also experienced colder-than-normal winters.  Comment: Long-term forecasts are still notoriously difficult to make with any accuracy, as the Met Office discovered with its “barbecue summer” prediction (– which ended flooding rain) and now 2 false predictions of mild winters in the UK.
Globale-temp-23.dec.2010Left: NOAA

And how does this substantiate manmade global warming? She makes Greenland warmer than usual – although it is colder on an average than normally – inland ice summit down to – 56 degrees C. This is warmist logics! And it is worth just this much:
The Telegraph 23 March 2009: Peter Stott, Climate Scientist at the Met Office, said: “Despite the cold winter this year, the trend to milder and wetter winters is expected to continue, with snow and frost becoming less of a feature in the future.The famously cold winter of 1962/63 is now expected to occur about once every 1,000 years or more!!” 

I think the combined AMO+PDO cycles that are totally independent on climate, are melting some arctic ice. While the PDO is now turning toward a new minimum the Atlantic AMO is in the middle of its maximum – seen every 70 years. This brings about melting which may then be creating the arctic high pressure that sends arctic air toward the south from Greenland and Siberia – as described by Mr. Rahmstorf. When this coincides with very low solar activity, a few hard winters will be seen. It was always like that. But now come the  joker: Geoengineering and HAARP! How efficient are these measures in creating a new ice age?

Arctic-ice-2000-2010-15-dec.Arctic ice as of 15 Dec. 2000–2010. Source: Cryosphere today.Where is the melted Arctic snow now? Covered with snow?

The loss at the Northpole is compensated for by expansion of the Antarctic ice: Animated video. Se graph below right.

And what about Prof. Slingo´s claim that the arctic ice is melting? Is it really?
Prof Latif, Kiel, is cleverer and admits there is a global cooling that he thinks is due the Pacific Decadal Oscillations, which have nothing to do with climate change, but then he will make us believe that the warming will be back in this decade!. Greenland´s ice sheet is only melting by 1/3 of what the warmists have been propagating.

PDO+AMO-arctic-temperatures

Above: The Pacific Decadal Temperature Oscillations – PDO ( lasting about 30 years) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillations – AMO (lasting about 70 years) seem to be decisive for the temperatures of the Arctic basin – and they have nothing to do with climate change (Joe D´Aleo, Climate Realists).

Sunspot-number

Above: Sunspot activity variations